The Chart Room

The New York Times senior economic correspondent, Neil Irwin, puts some perspective on the recent market sell-off. Recent events have been a reminder that, “Markets have been priced for perfection, and we’re getting some reminders that the world economy is far from perfect.” Long-term investors can capitalize on the heightened volatility by remaining disciplined.

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Peter Marber, Head of Emerging Market Investments at Loomis, Sayles & Co., provides his insight on emerging market economies in this latest article published by the Financial Times. Marber looks at the socio-economic progress of countries world-wide between 2003 and 2013 to understand the impact of globalization on the emerging markets.

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The conditions for a 3rd bailout for Greece have been agreed! Alen Mattich writing for the Wall Street Journal’s Moneybeat explains what the new deal involves.

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Will 2015 be the year that the Fed raises interest rates? This is the topic of discussion in a recent blog entry published by The Economist. According to the post, if the IMF has their way, a rise in rates will not occur until 2016 in the hopes of providing market stability. This blog entry examines various charts and indices, such as the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index and trends in the unemployment rate, to provide analysis on factors considered by the Fed in their decision-making process.

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In July, Knowledge@Wharton interviewed Jacques deLisle, Director of East Asian Studies at the University of Pennsylvania and Ann Lee, Adjunct Professor of Economics and Finance at NYU to discuss the downfall of China’s stock market. The interview explores the causes of the downturn, why previous fixes did not work and what the Chinese government currently has planned to alleviate the issue and stimulate growth.

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In a recent blog entry, Mark Mobius examines the downturn in the Chinese stock market. Since mid-June, the domestic stock market in China has seen a 30% decline. In this article, Mobius provides the reader with insight into the causes of the downturn as well as how his team plans on investing in the region going forward.

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A recent article by Tobias Buck for the Financial Times offers the reader the opportunity to compare and contrast the decisions made by the Spanish and Greek governments regarding austerity. Spain chose to adopt austerity measures that now have them on track for increasing economic growth per Spanish government forecasts.

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On June 30th, 2015, Greece defaulted on the International Monetary Fund and accelerated the possibility of their exit from the Eurozone. By the end of July, we should know if a “Grexit” will indeed be a reality. A Grexit will have a tremendous impact on the European and World economies. To help explain how a Grexit could happen and its ramifications, we are providing two recent articles on the topic.

The Wall Street Journal has published “What’s the Timetable to a Grexit” to help define how such an exit would be triggered and how it could still be avoided.

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In an interview for Knowledge@Wharton, Professor Jeremy Siegel provides analysis and context on the impact a Grexit could have on World, European and Greek economies.

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The Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) has recently cut its growth predictions for the U.S. Economy to 2.0% in 2015 and 2.8% in 2016 (down from original forecasts of 3.1% in 2015 and 3.0% in 2016). The reason for this cut stems from numerous factors including a strong U.S. dollar and rough winter weather across much of the U.S.  This re-evaluation for the U.S., as well as the rest of the world, is explored in a current article published by the BBC.

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Rajeshmi Naidu-Ghelani, writing for the BBC, explores the development of the Asean region. He explains that the Association of South East Asian Nations, soon to be the Aesean Economic Community, is expected to grow by 5%. By comparison, the European Union is predicted to grow only 2%.

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